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Daegu Pegasus vs. Sonic Boom

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.3KEvent: Daegu Pegasus vs. Sonic Boom
49.5¢
Daegu Pegasus
50.5¢
Sonic Boom
5.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection64Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$2.0K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sonic Boom · $252 net·3 wallets·$529 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaegu Pegasus$1.0K@ 31¢·Aussieoioioi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$991
6h
+$698
tracked
$2.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Sonic Boom · $252 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
5.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 5.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.kbl.or.kr/
Outcome meaning

•If the Daegu Pegasus win, the market will resolve to "Daegu Pegasus".

•If the Sonic Boom win, the market will resolve to "Sonic Boom".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for October 14 at 6:00AM ET: If the Daegu Pegasus win, the market will resolve to "Daegu Pegasus". If the Sonic Boom win, the market will resolve to "Sonic Boom". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Daegu Pegasus UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $23 → $2.7K · 81s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daegu Pegasus; negative values favor Sonic Boom. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaegu Pegasus · $991
6hDaegu Pegasus · $698
24hDaegu Pegasus · $733

Daegu Pegasus price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daegu Pegasus price. Sonic Boom fills are converted to the complementary Daegu Pegasus probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h32.2¢▲ above by 17.3pp
VWAP 7d32.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daegu Pegasus price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$414
40¢
$0
35¢
$490
30¢
$1.0K
25¢
$5
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$9
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.