Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $309.3K24h Vol: $16.1M

15.2¢

YES

84.7¢

65.3¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:85 trades93% YES7% NO

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$9.2K@ 84¢·0x1569…bf0c

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$14

6h+$367

24h+$2.5K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current15.2¢

VWAP 24h19.4¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d67.3¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

90¢

85¢

$13.4K

80¢

$86.4K

75¢

70¢

65¢