Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16.6¢
YES
83.3¢
NO
65.3¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:61 trades32% YES68% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 69%·2 wallets·$80
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics
Net Order Flow
Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.1h+$46
6h+$21
24h$1.9K
VWAP vs Price
VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.Current16.6¢
VWAP 24h61.9¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d65.1¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.
Top Holders · 30d
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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)
95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$836.7K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$233.0K10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0
VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Accumulation
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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d