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Olbia: Laurent Lokoli vs Georgii Kravchenko

● quote 157 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $280.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $329.0KEvent: Olbia: Laurent Lokoli vs Georgii Kravchenko
6.0¢
Laurent Lokoli
99.9¢
Georgii Kravchenko
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets52Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$94.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 164 min agoofficial metadata 158 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Laurent Lokoli · $5.5K net·6 wallets·$10.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLaurent Lokoli$17.1K@ 57¢·0x08a3…8666

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$52.2K
tracked
$94.6K

6 verified profitable wallets: Laurent Lokoli · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +57.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 157 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 164 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 158 minutes old.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 57.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Laurent Lokoli and Georgii Kravchenko in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurent Lokoli' if Laurent Lokoli advances against Georgii Kravchenko. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Laurent Lokoli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Laurent Lokoli3h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGESELL Laurent Lokoli@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Laurent Lokoli@ 55.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -46.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Laurent Lokoli@ 57.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -49.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Georgii Kravchenko UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $6.0K → $74 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Laurent Lokoli; negative values favor Georgii Kravchenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLaurent Lokoli · $0
6hLaurent Lokoli · $52.2K
24hLaurent Lokoli · $50.0K

Laurent Lokoli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Laurent Lokoli price. Georgii Kravchenko fills are converted to the complementary Laurent Lokoli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.0¢
VWAP 24h40.5¢▼ below by 34.5pp
VWAP 7d40.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Laurent Lokoli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$2.4K
60¢
$7.5K
55¢
$19.3K
50¢
$8.2K
45¢
$17.1K
40¢
$8.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.2K
25¢
$823
20¢
$5
15¢
$0
10¢
$35
5¢
← now
$20.7K
0¢
$4.3K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLaurent Lokoli$17.1K@ 57.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYLaurent Lokoli$14.4K@ 48.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x08a3…8666Laurent Lokoli$47.3K
BUY VWAP 49.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.