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Catania: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Felix Gill

● quote 22 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $37.9KEvent: Catania: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Felix Gill
3.0¢
Izan Almazan Valiente
99.9¢
Felix Gill
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$2.9K trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Izan Almazan Valiente · $78 net·2 wallets·$78 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIzan Almazan Valiente$1.0K@ 12¢·bestevertodoit

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$496
6h
+$2.3K
tracked
$2.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Izan Almazan Valiente · $78 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 22 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 43 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Izan Almazan Valiente and Felix Gill in the Catania, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Felix Gill. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Izan Almazan Valiente; negative values favor Felix Gill. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIzan Almazan Valiente · $496
6hIzan Almazan Valiente · $2.3K
24hIzan Almazan Valiente · $2.3K

Izan Almazan Valiente price VWAP

Volume-weighted Izan Almazan Valiente price. Felix Gill fills are converted to the complementary Izan Almazan Valiente probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.0¢
VWAP 24h12.2¢▼ below by 9.2pp
VWAP 7d12.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Izan Almazan Valiente price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$3
30¢
$190
25¢
$7
20¢
$129
15¢
$8
10¢
$2.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$569

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.