Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $832.2K24h Vol: $32.6M

0.8¢

YES

99.1¢

98.3¢

Spread

conv1Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge1Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom1Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

24h sample:79 trades2% YES98% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:NO 97%·3 wallets·$2.9K

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$20.7K@ 99¢·roystonford

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$423

6h$1.4K

24h$6.8K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current0.8¢

VWAP 24h97.6¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d99.0¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$1.3M

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢