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Tennessee vs. South Carolina

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $69.0KEvent: Tennessee vs. South Carolina

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

45.5¢
Tennessee
54.5¢
South Carolina
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection83Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%
24h sample:26 trades$26.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSouth Carolina$22.0K@ 55¢·PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

South Carolina pressure: $22.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.0K
6h
−$17.7K
tracked
$26.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from South Carolina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game.

•This market will resolve to "South Carolina" if South Carolina win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Tennessee and South Carolina, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game. This market will resolve to "South Carolina" if South Carolina win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ArielFilipino2 linked markets · $34.2K gross
0x0f98…f6c52 linked markets · $17 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY South Carolina@ 55.0¢30m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tennessee; negative values favor South Carolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSouth Carolina · $22.0K
6hSouth Carolina · $17.7K
24hSouth Carolina · $17.5K

Tennessee price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tennessee price. South Carolina fills are converted to the complementary Tennessee probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h45.17¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d45.17¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tennessee price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$26.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSouth Carolina$22.0K@ 55.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—42 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)
49.5¢$52.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: South Carolina (-1.5)
52.5¢$13.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tennessee vs. South Carolina: O/U 51.5
—$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tennessee vs. South Carolina: O/U 49.5
—$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tennessee (-14.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tennessee (-13.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tennessee (-10.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tennessee (-17.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANSouth Carolina$22.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.