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Ole Miss vs. Texas

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $315.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $30.8KEvent: Ole Miss vs. Texas

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

41.5¢
Ole Miss
58.5¢
Texas
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$24.0K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 78%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 15 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Texas · $7.8K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$23.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas$13.4K@ 61¢·ArielFilipino

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ole Miss pressure: $8.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$8.0K
6h
+$8.0K
tracked
$24.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Texas · $7.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ole Miss or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Texas, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ArielFilipino3 linked markets · $51.2K gross
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $9.1K gross
0x7845…67752 linked markets · $20 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Texas@ 61.0¢21h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ole Miss; negative values favor Texas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOle Miss · $8.0K
6hOle Miss · $8.0K
24hTexas · $7.7K

Ole Miss price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ole Miss price. Texas fills are converted to the complementary Ole Miss probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h39.78¢▲ above by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d39.78¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ole Miss price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$10.6K
35¢
$13.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTexas$13.4K@ 60.99¢
ArielFilipino0xe18e…f826
🐋—about 22 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Texas (-3.5)
47.5¢$36.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Texas (-2.5)
55.0¢$32.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ole Miss vs. Texas: O/U 51.5
—$7.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ole Miss vs. Texas: O/U 53.5
—$987priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ole Miss vs. Texas: O/U 55.5
—$820priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ole Miss (-16.5)
—$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ole Miss (-3.5)
—$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ole Miss (-20.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ArielFilipinoTexas$15.8K
BUY VWAP 60.84¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.