PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set Handicap: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.6KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula
0.0¢
Jessica Pegula
0.0¢
Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%
24h sample:5 trades$421 trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 97 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$111
tracked
$421

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 97 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jessica Pegula" if Jessica Pegula wins by 2 or more sets than Jelena Ostapenko, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jelena Ostapenko."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jessica Pegula can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jelena Ostapenko."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Jessica Pegula" if Jessica Pegula wins by 2 or more sets than Jelena Ostapenko, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jelena Ostapenko." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jessica Pegula can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jelena Ostapenko." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $13.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jessica Pegula; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJessica Pegula · $0
6hJelena Ostapenko · $111
24hJessica Pegula · $141

Jessica Pegula price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jessica Pegula price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Jessica Pegula probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.5¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d50.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Jessica Pegula price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$30
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$391
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula
54.9¢$557.8Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula
0.0¢$3.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jessica Pegula (-4.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+4.5)
0.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jelena Ostapenko vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$119priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ostapenko vs. Pegula: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$102priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ostapenko vs. Pegula: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ostapenko vs. Pegula: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ostapenko vs. Pegula: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.