PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Commanders (-4.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: CommandersLiquidity: $127.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $261.6KEvent: Eagles vs. Commanders
100.0¢
Commanders payout
0.0¢
Eagles payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Eagles · $72.5K net·5 wallets(2🐋)·$98.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEagles$50.8K@ 47¢·maz26

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Commanders. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-02 01:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Commanders" if the Commanders win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eagles".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Commanders, scheduled for November 1 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Commanders" if the Commanders win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eagles". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
surfandturf3 linked markets · $335.1K gross
ferrariChampions202613 linked markets · $207.1K gross
0xbc43…96d34 linked markets · $181.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Eagles2d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGESELL Eagles@ 54.0¢2d ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Eagles@ 47.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Commanders; negative values favor Eagles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCommanders · $0
6hEagles · $18.9K
24hEagles · $69.7K

Commanders price VWAP

Volume-weighted Commanders price. Eagles fills are converted to the complementary Commanders probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.72¢▲ above by 48.3pp
VWAP 7d51.72¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Commanders price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$105.2K
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$3.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$400
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEagles$19.6K@ 48.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—2 days ago
BUYEagles$14.2K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—2 days ago
BUYEagles$50.8K@ 47.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—2 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva
99.95¢$883.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$729.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar
—$493.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
94.45¢$461.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Costa do Sauipe: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
—$437.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.15¢$424.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?
51.5¢$384.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
98.75¢$371.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Eagles$50.8K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Eagles$33.7K
BUY VWAP 48.41¢·2 fills
maz26Commanders$10.2K
BUY VWAP 50.87¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.