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Set Handicap: Michael Vrbensky (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Giustino (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: NOLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Maia: Lorenzo Giustino vs Michael Vrbensky
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-21 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Michael Vrbensky" if Michael Vrbensky wins by 2 or more sets than Lorenzo Giustino, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lorenzo Giustino."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Michael Vrbensky can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lorenzo Giustino."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Vrbensky and Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michael Vrbensky" if Michael Vrbensky wins by 2 or more sets than Lorenzo Giustino, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lorenzo Giustino." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Michael Vrbensky can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lorenzo Giustino." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 15m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 15m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.