PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Maia: Lorenzo Giustino vs Michael Vrbensky

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lorenzo GiustinoLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $28.8KEvent: Maia: Lorenzo Giustino vs Michael Vrbensky
100.0¢
Lorenzo Giustino payout
0.0¢
Michael Vrbensky payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:18 trades$1.0K trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 38s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lorenzo Giustino · $231 net·4 wallets·$241 gross

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lorenzo Giustino. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-21 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Michael Vrbensky in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Michael Vrbensky. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Michael Vrbensky DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $3.5K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lorenzo Giustino; negative values favor Michael Vrbensky. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Giustino · $139
6hLorenzo Giustino · $954
24hLorenzo Giustino · $954

Lorenzo Giustino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lorenzo Giustino price. Michael Vrbensky fills are converted to the complementary Lorenzo Giustino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h91.3¢▲ above by 8.7pp
VWAP 7d91.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Lorenzo Giustino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$80
90¢
$759
85¢
$169
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$20
65¢
$0
60¢
$1
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Lorenzo Giustino (-4.5) vs Michael Vrbensky (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
0.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
77.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?
47.5¢$933.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lisbon: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela
100.0¢$745.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
50.5¢$584.8Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Seahawks vs. Broncos
56.5¢$520.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs
0.0¢$472.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.