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Celtics vs. Pistons

● quote 42s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 20 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.1KEvent: Celtics vs. Pistons
51.5¢
Celtics
48.5¢
Pistons
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection90Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$777 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPistons$2.0K@ 49¢·MathPsycho

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$702
6h
−$697
tracked
$777

1 verified profitable wallet: Pistons · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Less than 20h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".

•If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00PM ET: If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $5.6K gross
titocomino2 linked markets · $2.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor Pistons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPistons · $702
6hPistons · $697
24hPistons · $662

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. Pistons fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h51.1¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d50.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$6.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5
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Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
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Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
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Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
45.5¢$135priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
48.5¢$25priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
37.0¢$15priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
58.5¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
0.0¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.