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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

● quote 418 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 21 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $15Event: Celtics vs. Pistons
38.0¢
YES
62.0¢
NO
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 0%

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$0

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 0% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 0% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 418 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Celtics".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $5.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5
47.5¢$16.4Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Pistons
51.5¢$7.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
51.5¢$4.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
44.0¢$2.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
46.5¢$135priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
48.5¢$25priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
58.5¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
0.0¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.