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Set 1 Winner: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider

Sports→TennisSettlement: Diana ShnaiderLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.5KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider
0.0¢
Karolina Muchova payout
100.0¢
Diana Shnaider payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:4 trades$589 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Diana Shnaider. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-22 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Karolina Muchova” if Karolina Muchova wins the first set. It will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Diana Shnaider in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Karolina Muchova” if Karolina Muchova wins the first set. It will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 13m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 13m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0c57…f4b72 linked markets · $8 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karolina Muchova; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKarolina Muchova · $55
6hDiana Shnaider · $468
24hDiana Shnaider · $468

Karolina Muchova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karolina Muchova price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Karolina Muchova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h43.8¢▼ below by 43.8pp
VWAP 7d43.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karolina Muchova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$5
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$528
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$55

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider
0.1¢$845.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Muchova vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Karolina Muchova vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$1.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider
0.0¢$664priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Muchova vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$196priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Diana Shnaider (+1.5)
0.0¢$94priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Muchova vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$7priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Muchova vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.