Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-28?

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $33.9KEvent: Arsenal WFC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

93.5¢
YES
6.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly10direction0wallets100execution63priority0data 68%💡 3 smart
24h sample:8 trades$24.0K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 71%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $20.9K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$20.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$11.1K@ 83¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$72
6h
+$21.6K
tracked
$24.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: YES · $20.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Outcome meaning

•If Arsenal WFC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 28, 2026 If Arsenal WFC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $2.0K gross
HRTrading2 linked markets · $6 gross
ferdinand22 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.1K → $9.6K · 47s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hNO · $72
6hYES · $21.6K
24hYES · $21.7K

YES price VWAP

Current93.5¢
VWAP 24h82.52¢▲ above by 11.0pp
VWAP 7d82.52¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$24.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYES$11.1K@ 83.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Yes$16.7K
BUY VWAP 82.66¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.