Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

● quote just now

Sports→BaseballCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $145.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $23.4KEvent: MLB World Series Champion 2026

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

16.45¢

YES

83.55¢

1.3¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets96Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:20 trades$4.6K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $2.6K net·4 wallets·$10.1K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$4.0K@ 73¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$1

+$10

tracked

$4.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: NO · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.3¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-10-31 23:55 UTC

Event constraint

Mutually exclusive

Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/

Outcome meaning

•If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

•If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0F623 linked markets · $145.9K gross

0xa0f2…18483 linked markets · $10.8K gross

0x122c…fbed2 linked markets · $9.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: NO UP 7.1pp · near-book depth $115 → $4.9K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hYES · $1

6hYES · $10

24hNO · $4.2K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current16.45¢

VWAP 24h16.09¢▲ above by 0.4pp

VWAP 7d29.02¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

$6.9K

30¢

$6.9K

25¢

$14.2K

20¢

$2.3K

15¢

← now

$7.0K

10¢

$119

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…

Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

83.75¢$63.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

16.3¢$711.3Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Grizzlies vs. Kings

59.5¢$641.6Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

11.35¢$509.6Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

1.3¢$480.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

0.15¢$480.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

71.45¢$476.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor

—$462.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0F62No$13.2K

BUY VWAP 74.75¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.