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Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

Tech→Closes: 14 minutesLiquidity: $19.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $141.8KEvent: Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
91.5¢
YES
8.6¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:45 trades$36.5K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $14.0K net·5 wallets·$16.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLYES$6.0K@ 97¢·Rex416

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-16 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if any version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present at the event performs a live, timed 0-60 mph acceleration run, from a standing start, under its own power, with a resulting time of less than 1.0 seconds. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

•This market is specifically about the Tesla event scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET. A demonstration at a separate location qualifies if Tesla presents it live as part of the event. A subsequent standalone demonstration does not qualify unless it forms part of an officially announced continuation of the event. If this event is postponed or rescheduled, this market will remain open and will resolve based on the rescheduled event, provided it takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The qualifying run must occur by that deadline. If no qualifying run has occurred by then, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

Tesla is holding an event on October 15, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET where the company is expected to showcase an updated version of the Tesla Roadster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present at the event performs a live, timed 0-60 mph acceleration run, from a standing start, under its own power, with a resulting time of less than 1.0 seconds. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying run must be timed, and the resulting time must be demonstrated, not merely claimed. A qualifying demonstration includes an onstage or on-screen display of a timer, speedometer, or other instrumentation showing the vehicle's elapsed time during the run, or an official Tesla-published time for that specific live run. Remote control is permitted. If the demonstrated run is to a higher speed than 60 mph (e.g., a 0-100 mph run), it will establish a qualifying 0-60 mph time only if either: (a) a 0-60 mph split is separately and explicitly shown or stated as being less than 1.0 seconds, or (b) the full run's time to the higher speed is itself less than 1.0 seconds. A run to a higher speed with only an aggregate time for that higher speed, and no stated or shown 0-60 split, will NOT establish a qualifying 0-60 time on its own. The following will NOT qualify for a "Yes" resolution: - The vehicle being pushed, towed, launched, or otherwise assisted in accelerating by any external means, including but not limited to another vehicle, a launch mechanism, or people - The vehicle using an external power supply during the run - A time based on a rolling start rather than a standing start - A bare verbal claim by Tesla, Elon Musk, or any presenter that the Roadster "did" or "can do" a sub-1-second 0-60 time, without a demonstrated live run establishing that time - Any simulation, animation, or pre-recorded video of the run appearing to achieve this time, shown at the event but not performed live This market is specifically about the Tesla event scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET. A demonstration at a separate location qualifies if Tesla presents it live as part of the event. A subsequent standalone demonstration does not qualify unless it forms part of an officially announced continuation of the event. If this event is postponed or rescheduled, this market will remain open and will resolve based on the rescheduled event, provided it takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The qualifying run must occur by that deadline. If no qualifying run has occurred by then, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be video of the qualifying event, including Tesla's official livestream. Official Tesla statements or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market, provided they establish that a live run met the conditions above. A general claim that the Roadster achieved a sub-1-second 0-60 time, without establishing those conditions, will not alone qualify.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 20m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $6.7K
6hYES · $15.6K
24hYES · $11.8K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current91.5¢
VWAP 24h87.5¢▲ above by 4.0pp
VWAP 7d87.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$27.4K
90¢
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$4.2K
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$1.1K
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$3.8K
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VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

davisb12Yes$12.8K
BUY VWAP 96.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.