Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?

Crypto→PricesCloses: about 13 hoursLiquidity: $1.8MOfficial 24h Vol: $671.1KEvent: Ethereum above ___ on October 22?

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

Historical analytics · no executable quote

24h sample:47 trades$366.9K tracked15% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 328 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $116.5K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$116.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$98.9K@ 100¢·033033033

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

DISPUTED

Trading

Orders paused

Deadline

2026-10-22 16:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: NO UP 4.9pp · near-book depth $203 → $203 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Execution status

Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hYES · $0

6hNO · $114.7K

24hNO · $155.8K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h17.8¢▼ below by 17.8pp

VWAP 7d17.8¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

$57.8K

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

$730

65¢