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Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $32.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $80.6KEvent: Celtics vs. 76ers
39.0¢
76ers
61.0¢
Celtics
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets97Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:26 trades$29.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Celtics · $187 net·4 wallets·$193 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCeltics$11.8K@ 51¢·www511zwin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

76ers pressure: $2.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.1K
6h
+$2.6K
tracked
$29.3K

4 verified profitable wallets: Celtics · $187 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 84% · priority 64

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 76ers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Celtics".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Moneyloverman5 linked markets · $86.0K gross
omoi0i03 linked markets · $13.9K gross
ic4cream2 linked markets · $9.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Celtics UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $659 → $985 · 76s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 76ers; negative values favor Celtics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h76ers · $2.1K
6h76ers · $2.6K
24h76ers · $1.9K

76ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 76ers price. Celtics fills are converted to the complementary 76ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.0¢
VWAP 24h49.8¢▼ below by 10.7pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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76ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$7
60¢
$50
55¢
$0
50¢
$9.6K
45¢
$19.7K
40¢
$3
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCeltics$11.8K@ 51.0¢
www511zwin0x9368…f390
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

www511zwinCeltics$11.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.