Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: 16 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.0KEvent: Hornets vs. Grizzlies

0.0¢

Grizzlies

0.0¢

Hornets

0.0¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:4 trades$10 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 623 min agoofficial metadata 290 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

tracked

$10

1 verified profitable wallet: Grizzlies · $2 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
•Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
•Observed tape is 623 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-10-17 00:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Grizzlies" if the Grizzlies win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grizzlies" if the Grizzlies win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $46 gross

HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Grizzlies; negative values favor Hornets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hGrizzlies · $0

6hGrizzlies · $0

24hGrizzlies · $6

Grizzlies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Grizzlies price. Hornets fills are converted to the complementary Grizzlies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.0¢

VWAP 24h45.7¢▼ below by NaNpp

VWAP 7d45.7¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Grizzlies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

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VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.