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Spread: 76ers (-5.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 43 minutesLiquidity: $31.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $88.2KEvent: Celtics vs. 76ers
46.0¢
76ers
54.0¢
Celtics
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$29.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $51 net·2 wallets·$61 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY76ers$10.4K@ 54¢·Moneyloverman

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

76ers pressure: $9.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.9K
6h
+$29.6K
tracked
$29.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: 76ers · $51 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 76ers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Celtics".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Moneyloverman5 linked markets · $86.0K gross
omoi0i03 linked markets · $13.9K gross
ic4cream2 linked markets · $9.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Celtics DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $89 → $1.1K · 79s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 76ers; negative values favor Celtics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h76ers · $9.9K
6h76ers · $29.6K
24h76ers · $29.6K

76ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 76ers price. Celtics fills are converted to the complementary 76ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.0¢
VWAP 24h53.1¢▼ below by 7.1pp
VWAP 7d53.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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76ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2
60¢
$1
55¢
$10.2K
50¢
$10.4K
45¢
← now
$9.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY76ers$10.4K@ 54.3¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Moneyloverman76ers$19.4K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.