PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set 2 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.3KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢
Sonay Kartal
0.0¢
Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection88Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$42 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$37
6h
+$36
tracked
$42

1 verified profitable wallet: Sonay Kartal · $4 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Sonay Kartal” if Sonay Kartal wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jelena Ostapenko” if Jelena Ostapenko wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sonay Kartal and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Sonay Kartal” if Sonay Kartal wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jelena Ostapenko” if Jelena Ostapenko wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.6K gross
0x30f6…004f2 linked markets · $367 gross
0xc124…bd0f2 linked markets · $21 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sonay Kartal; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSonay Kartal · $37
6hSonay Kartal · $36
24hSonay Kartal · $36

Sonay Kartal price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sonay Kartal price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Sonay Kartal probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h62.2¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d62.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Sonay Kartal price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$20
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$8
30¢
$0
25¢
$13
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
100.0¢$399.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sonay Kartal vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$483priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)
0.0¢$195priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.