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Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $86.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $89.0KEvent: Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Team Resilience (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Tidebound
0.1¢
Team Resilience
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$29.6K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Tidebound · $7.0K net·3 wallets·$7.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Tidebound$8.2K@ 100¢·Barbozaaa321

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Resilience pressure: $2.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.9K
6h
−$283
tracked
$29.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Team Tidebound · $7.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Resilience or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 13:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Tidebound" if Team Tidebound win Game 1 against Team Resilience.

•This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win Game 1 against Team Tidebound.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 1 match between Team Tidebound and Team Resilience in the BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Tidebound" if Team Tidebound win Game 1 against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win Game 1 against Team Tidebound. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 8h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $2.1K gross
0xf732…bd9f2 linked markets · $2.1K gross
chw79512 linked markets · $1.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Tidebound; negative values favor Team Resilience. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Resilience · $2.9K
6hTeam Resilience · $283
24hTeam Resilience · $283

Team Tidebound price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Tidebound price. Team Resilience fills are converted to the complementary Team Tidebound probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h88.1¢▲ above by 11.9pp
VWAP 7d88.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Tidebound price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.9K
90¢
$28
85¢
$415
80¢
$0
75¢
$36
70¢
$336
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.3K
55¢
$2.5K
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.