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Panathinaikos vs. Kosner Baskonia

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $112Event: Panathinaikos vs. Kosner Baskonia
0.0¢
Panathinaikos
0.0¢
Kosner Baskonia
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection86Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$15 trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 1658 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$13
6h
+$14
tracked
$15

1 verified profitable wallet: Kosner Baskonia · $1 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 58 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1658 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/
Outcome meaning

•If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos".

•If the Kosner Baskonia win, the market will resolve to "Kosner Baskonia".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 22 at 2:15PM ET: If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos". If the Kosner Baskonia win, the market will resolve to "Kosner Baskonia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Panathinaikos; negative values favor Kosner Baskonia. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPanathinaikos · $13
6hPanathinaikos · $14
24hPanathinaikos · $14

Panathinaikos price VWAP

Volume-weighted Panathinaikos price. Kosner Baskonia fills are converted to the complementary Panathinaikos probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h90.1¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d90.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Panathinaikos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$15
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.