PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev

● quote 30s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $43.7KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev
36.5¢
Rafael Jodar
63.5¢
Daniil Medvedev
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly8Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%
24h sample:19 trades$15.2K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDaniil Medvedev$7.5K@ 65¢·0000.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$36
6h
−$2.7K
tracked
$15.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 47 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Daniil Medvedev in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $517 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rafael Jodar; negative values favor Daniil Medvedev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniil Medvedev · $36
6hDaniil Medvedev · $2.7K
24hDaniil Medvedev · $14.3K

Rafael Jodar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rafael Jodar price. Daniil Medvedev fills are converted to the complementary Rafael Jodar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h35.4¢▲ above by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d35.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Rafael Jodar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$15.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rafael Jodar vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$3.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jodar vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$2.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-2.5) vs Rafael Jodar (+2.5)
0.0¢$1.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Rafael Jodar (+1.5)
0.0¢$839priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jodar vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$452priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev
0.0¢$169priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jodar vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$100priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0000.Daniil Medvedev$11.8K
BUY VWAP 64.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.