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Roanne: Jerome Kym vs Mika Brunold

● quote 143 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $452.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.4KEvent: Roanne: Jerome Kym vs Mika Brunold
1.0¢
Jerome Kym
99.9¢
Mika Brunold
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$48.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 181 min agoofficial metadata 145 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mika Brunold · $2.3K net·6 wallets·$3.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMika Brunold$19.5K@ 72¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$2.8K
tracked
$48.0K

6 verified profitable wallets: Mika Brunold · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 143 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 181 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 145 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jerome Kym and Mika Brunold in the Roanne, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerome Kym' if Jerome Kym advances against Mika Brunold. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Jerome Kym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mika Brunold@ 83.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Jerome Kym DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $40 → $600 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jerome Kym; negative values favor Mika Brunold. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJerome Kym · $0
6hJerome Kym · $2.8K
24hJerome Kym · $2.8K

Jerome Kym price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jerome Kym price. Mika Brunold fills are converted to the complementary Jerome Kym probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h30.6¢▼ below by 29.6pp
VWAP 7d30.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jerome Kym price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$13
60¢
$0
55¢
$314
50¢
$70
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$3.1K
25¢
$39.2K
20¢
$103
15¢
$100
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.4K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMika Brunold$19.5K@ 71.5¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMika Brunold$19.3K@ 71.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Jerome Kym (-2.5) vs Mika Brunold (+2.5)
0.0¢$4.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kym vs. Brunold: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jerome Kym vs. Mika Brunold: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kym vs. Brunold: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Set 2 Winner: Jerome Kym vs Mika Brunold
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Kym vs. Brunold: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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87.5¢$2.4Mpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstMika Brunold$19.3K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.