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Pelicans vs. Jazz

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 8 minutesLiquidity: $2.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $808.1KEvent: Pelicans vs. Jazz

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢
Pelicans
50.5¢
Jazz
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly35Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:130 trades$346.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pelicans · $48.6K net·10 wallets(3🐋)·$106.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPelicans$73.5K@ 49¢·Mooseborzoiii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Jazz pressure: $3.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.0K
6h
+$115.5K
tracked
$346.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Pelicans · $48.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jazz or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 01:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".

•If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 9:30PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
googleplay2 linked markets · $279.7K gross
chanello3 linked markets · $69.3K gross
quavoo9 linked markets · $47.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pelicans@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Pelicans@ 51.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Pelicans@ 50.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pelicans; negative values favor Jazz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJazz · $3.0K
6hPelicans · $115.5K
24hPelicans · $141.4K

Pelicans price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pelicans price. Jazz fills are converted to the complementary Pelicans probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d48.65¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pelicans price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$106.1K
45¢
← now
$238.0K
40¢
$6.3K
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$3.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPelicans$73.5K@ 49.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJazz$12.5K@ 51.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPelicans$36.9K@ 50.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYPelicans$16.4K@ 47.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 12 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
51.5¢$748.8Kpriority76Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5
49.5¢$148.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5
45.5¢$87.2Kpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jazz (-2.5)
44.5¢$67.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)
48.5¢$66.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5
54.0¢$26.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
43.5¢$17.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jazz (-3.5)
41.5¢$15.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MooseborzoiiiPelicans$122.5K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·6 fills
Talvez10Pelicans$44.2K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
quavooJazz$19.5K
BUY VWAP 50.10¢·16 fills
mooseborzoiiPelicans$16.4K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
maz26Jazz$12.5K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardJazz$11.0K
BUY VWAP 52.26¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.