PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $990.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A
100.0¢
Team Liquid
0.1¢
1win
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 34 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:385 trades$389.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:1win · $14.7K net·34 wallets(1🐋)·$74.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY1win$13.8K@ 56¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Team Liquid pressure: $74.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$74.2K
6h
+$66.3K
tracked
$389.1K

34 verified profitable wallets: 1win · $14.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 16.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 20:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against 1win.

•This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 1 against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and 1win in the PARI Universe Group A, initially scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sunshine.Smile2 linked markets · $26.1K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $19.0K gross
iceblue-2 linked markets · $2.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Liquid12m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Liquid@ 84.0¢18m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: 1win DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $45 → $100 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor 1win. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $74.2K
6hTeam Liquid · $66.3K
24hTeam Liquid · $66.4K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. 1win fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h66.1¢▲ above by 33.9pp
VWAP 7d66.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$97.8K
90¢
$3.9K
85¢
$30.4K
80¢
$15.1K
75¢
$892
70¢
$27.2K
65¢
$17.5K
60¢
$21.4K
55¢
$22.4K
50¢
$9.6K
45¢
$47.4K
40¢
$63.0K
35¢
$8.1K
30¢
$4.1K
25¢
$7.7K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$2.6K
10¢
$3.0K
5¢
$4.0K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Liquid$10.0K@ 99.0¢
errormargin30x5a56…10f5
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYTeam Liquid$10.0K@ 97.0¢
errormargin30x5a56…10f5
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUY1win$13.8K@ 56.4¢0xf3ce…a57a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUY1win$10.0K@ 55.4¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUY1win$12.2K@ 54.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A
75.5¢$111.1Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
52.0¢$3.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)
28.0¢$3.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
49.5¢$344priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$777.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
100.0¢$745.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov
0.0¢$698.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

madar78Team Liquid$34.6K
BUY VWAP 61.3¢·16 fills
errormargin3Team Liquid$33.8K
BUY VWAP 83.4¢·8 fills
Sunshine.Smile1win$19.4K
BUY VWAP 53.6¢·3 fills
yanedaniilTeam Liquid$16.0K
BUY VWAP 86.9¢·4 fills
0xf3ce…a57a1win$13.8K
BUY VWAP 56.4¢·1 fill
UNIVERSEMVPTeam Liquid$13.2K
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·11 fills
0xe16d…5e301win$12.0K
BUY VWAP 55.9¢·3 fills
ExcentricoTeam Liquid$11.0K
BUY VWAP 94.8¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.