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Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen

● quote 348 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $141.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $145.0KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen
99.9¢
Ashlyn Krueger
0.5¢
Janice Tjen
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:79 trades$39.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 350 min agoofficial metadata 346 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ashlyn Krueger · $13.6K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$13.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAshlyn Krueger$10.5K@ 96¢·0x09be…9c32

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$59
tracked
$39.4K

6 verified profitable wallets: Ashlyn Krueger · $13.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 348 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 350 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 346 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ashlyn Krueger and Janice Tjen in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn Krueger' if Ashlyn Krueger advances against Janice Tjen. This market will resolve to 'Janice Tjen' if Janice Tjen advances against Ashlyn Krueger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Ashlyn Krueger UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $55.4K → $29.8K · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ashlyn Krueger; negative values favor Janice Tjen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAshlyn Krueger · $0
6hJanice Tjen · $59
24hAshlyn Krueger · $11.7K

Ashlyn Krueger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ashlyn Krueger price. Janice Tjen fills are converted to the complementary Ashlyn Krueger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h85.9¢▲ above by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d85.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ashlyn Krueger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$25.0K
90¢
$60
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.6K
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$5.8K
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAshlyn Krueger$10.5K@ 95.8¢0x09be…9c32🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Ashlyn Krueger vs. Janice Tjen: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$477priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Ashlyn Krueger (-1.5) vs Janice Tjen (+1.5)
0.0¢$372priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen
0.0¢$294priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Tjen: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$143priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Tjen: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Tjen: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Tjen: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Tjen: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x09be…9c32Ashlyn Krueger$10.5K
BUY VWAP 95.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.