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Set Handicap: Ashlyn Krueger (-1.5) vs Janice Tjen (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $372Event: Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen
0.0¢
Ashlyn Krueger
0.0¢
Janice Tjen
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%
24h sample:1 trades$215 trackedsource coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 462 min agoofficial metadata 380 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$215

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 462 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ashlyn Krueger" if Ashlyn Krueger wins by 2 or more sets than Janice Tjen, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Janice Tjen."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ashlyn Krueger can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Janice Tjen."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ashlyn Krueger and Janice Tjen in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ashlyn Krueger" if Ashlyn Krueger wins by 2 or more sets than Janice Tjen, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Janice Tjen." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ashlyn Krueger can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Janice Tjen." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ashlyn Krueger; negative values favor Janice Tjen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAshlyn Krueger · $0
6hAshlyn Krueger · $0
24hJanice Tjen · $215

Ashlyn Krueger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ashlyn Krueger price. Janice Tjen fills are converted to the complementary Ashlyn Krueger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h33.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d33.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ashlyn Krueger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$215
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Janice Tjen
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Krueger vs. Tjen: Match O/U 23.5
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Krueger vs. Tjen: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Tjen: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Krueger vs. Tjen: Match O/U 22.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.