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Set 1 Winner: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Sports→TennisSettlement: Nikoloz BasilashviliLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $359Event: Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢
Adam Walton payout
100.0¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$10 trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 83 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nikoloz Basilashvili. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Adam Walton” if Adam Walton wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nikoloz Basilashvili” if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Adam Walton” if Adam Walton wins the first set. It will resolve to “Nikoloz Basilashvili” if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $549 gross
Absing2 linked markets · $113 gross
MaxFomo3 linked markets · $98 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adam Walton; negative values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdam Walton · $0
6hNikoloz Basilashvili · $10
24hNikoloz Basilashvili · $10

Adam Walton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adam Walton price. Nikoloz Basilashvili fills are converted to the complementary Adam Walton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.0¢▼ below by 50.0pp
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adam Walton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$10
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
23.0¢$81.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Walton vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$452priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
45.5¢$223priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-0.5) vs Adam Walton (+0.5)
0.0¢$137priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Adam Walton vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$125priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Walton vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$101priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Adam Walton (+1.5)
0.0¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Walton vs. Basilashvili: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.