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Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Sports→TennisSettlement: Nikoloz BasilashviliLiquidity: $385.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $100.9KEvent: Almaty Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢
Adam Walton payout
100.0¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:85 trades$30.0K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adam Walton · $5.7K net·15 wallets·$9.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNikoloz Basilashvili$8.1K@ 81¢·88M

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nikoloz Basilashvili. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 18m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 18m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $549 gross
Absing2 linked markets · $113 gross
MaxFomo3 linked markets · $98 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nikoloz Basilashvili UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $89.7K → $23.6K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adam Walton; negative values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdam Walton · $4.9K
6hAdam Walton · $6.7K
24hAdam Walton · $6.7K

Adam Walton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adam Walton price. Nikoloz Basilashvili fills are converted to the complementary Adam Walton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h28.4¢▼ below by 28.4pp
VWAP 7d28.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adam Walton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.4K
50¢
$299
45¢
$2.1K
40¢
$5.9K
35¢
$26
30¢
$70
25¢
$0
20¢
$3.7K
15¢
$8.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.2K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.