PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic

● quote 33 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $201.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $393.1KEvent: Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic
99.9¢
Adrian Mannarino
0.3¢
Aleksandar Vukic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:168 trades$64.4K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adrian Mannarino · $8.4K net·12 wallets·$33.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAdrian Mannarino$6.4K@ 92¢·sbimbg

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$5.5K
tracked
$64.4K

12 verified profitable wallets: Adrian Mannarino · $8.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 33 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 66 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 34 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Aleksandar Vukic in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
above982 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $267 gross
0xf020…20f52 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aleksandar Vukic DOWN 2.8pp · near-book depth $5.5K → $449 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adrian Mannarino; negative values favor Aleksandar Vukic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdrian Mannarino · $0
6hAdrian Mannarino · $5.5K
24hAdrian Mannarino · $8.9K

Adrian Mannarino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adrian Mannarino price. Aleksandar Vukic fills are converted to the complementary Adrian Mannarino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h77.1¢▲ above by 22.8pp
VWAP 7d77.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Adrian Mannarino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.7K
90¢
$11.6K
85¢
$8.9K
80¢
$9.0K
75¢
$4.9K
70¢
$404
65¢
$662
60¢
$19.4K
55¢
$5.0K
50¢
$9
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Almaty Open: Completed Match: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic
0.0¢$4.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Adrian Mannarino (-1.5) vs Aleksandar Vukic (+1.5)
0.0¢$67priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ningbo Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢$535.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova
2.1¢$504.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs
0.0¢$453.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$426.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
78.0¢$401.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.