Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 25% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to “Egor Pleshivtsev” if Egor Pleshivtsev wins set 2. It will resolve to “Luca Castelnuovo” if Luca Castelnuovo wins set 2.
This market refers to the tennis match between Egor Pleshivtsev and Luca Castelnuovo in the Guangzhou Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Egor Pleshivtsev” if Egor Pleshivtsev wins set 2. It will resolve to “Luca Castelnuovo” if Luca Castelnuovo wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Largest holders
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.