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LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 12 hoursLiquidity: $301.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $235.1KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
88.5¢
Karmine Corp
11.5¢
MVK Esports
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly20Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%
24h sample:72 trades$95.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarmine Corp$57.2K@ 88¢·halanddd123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$554
6h
+$89.5K
tracked
$95.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 12h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against MVK Esports.

•This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against Karmine Corp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Karmine Corp and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $663 gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $113 gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Karmine Corp@ 88.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Karmine Corp@ 88.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Karmine Corp@ 88.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor MVK Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKarmine Corp · $554
6hKarmine Corp · $89.5K
24hKarmine Corp · $87.5K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. MVK Esports fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current88.5¢
VWAP 24h87.8¢▲ above by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d87.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$95.9K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKarmine Corp$18.4K@ 88.0¢
halanddd1230x2787…e0c4
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKarmine Corp$57.2K@ 88.0¢
halanddd1230x2787…e0c4
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKarmine Corp$13.7K@ 87.0¢
halanddd1230x2787…e0c4
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
74.5¢$33.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)
0.0¢$15.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
75.5¢$13.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.0¢$12.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 4 Winner
57.5¢$5.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

halanddd123Karmine Corp$89.2K
BUY VWAP 87.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.