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Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $40.9KEvent: Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade
85.5¢
Max Alcala Gurri
14.5¢
Andres Andrade
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly80Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$6.8K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Andres Andrade · $30 net·4 wallets·$119 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMax Alcala Gurri$2.4K@ 71¢·0000.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$11
6h
−$976
tracked
$6.8K

4 verified profitable wallets: Andres Andrade · $30 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Andres Andrade in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Andres Andrade DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.5K → $2.3K · 91s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Max Alcala Gurri; negative values favor Andres Andrade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMax Alcala Gurri · $11
6hAndres Andrade · $976
24hMax Alcala Gurri · $3.4K

Max Alcala Gurri price VWAP

Volume-weighted Max Alcala Gurri price. Andres Andrade fills are converted to the complementary Max Alcala Gurri probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current85.5¢
VWAP 24h71.5¢▲ above by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d71.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Max Alcala Gurri price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$0
80¢
$74
75¢
$40
70¢
$6.7K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Andres Andrade (-1.5) vs Max Alcala Gurri (+1.5)
0.0¢$936priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Max Alcala Gurri (-1.5) vs Andres Andrade (+1.5)
0.0¢$582priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Match O/U 21.5
43.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Max Alcala Gurri vs. Andres Andrade: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.