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Set Handicap: Max Alcala Gurri (-1.5) vs Andres Andrade (+1.5)

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $582Event: Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade
0.0¢
Max Alcala Gurri
0.0¢
Andres Andrade
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:1 trades$300 trackedsource coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 301 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$300
tracked
$300

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 301 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Max Alcala Gurri" if Max Alcala Gurri wins by 2 or more sets than Andres Andrade, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Andres Andrade."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Max Alcala Gurri can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Andres Andrade."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Andres Andrade in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Max Alcala Gurri" if Max Alcala Gurri wins by 2 or more sets than Andres Andrade, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Andres Andrade." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Max Alcala Gurri can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Andres Andrade." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Max Alcala Gurri; negative values favor Andres Andrade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMax Alcala Gurri · $0
6hAndres Andrade · $300
24hAndres Andrade · $300

Max Alcala Gurri price VWAP

Volume-weighted Max Alcala Gurri price. Andres Andrade fills are converted to the complementary Max Alcala Gurri probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Max Alcala Gurri price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$300
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade
82.5¢$40.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Andres Andrade (-1.5) vs Max Alcala Gurri (+1.5)
0.0¢$936priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Match O/U 21.5
43.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Max Alcala Gurri vs. Andres Andrade: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gurri vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.