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Set Handicap: Tristan Boyer (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Elmer MoellerLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4Event: Lisbon: Tristan Boyer vs Elmer Moeller
0.0¢
Tristan Boyer payout
100.0¢
Elmer Moeller payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$1 trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 152 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Elmer Moeller. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tristan Boyer" if Tristan Boyer wins by 2 or more sets than Elmer Moeller, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Elmer Moeller."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tristan Boyer can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Elmer Moeller."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Elmer Moeller in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tristan Boyer" if Tristan Boyer wins by 2 or more sets than Elmer Moeller, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Elmer Moeller." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tristan Boyer can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Elmer Moeller." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 35m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 35m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tristan Boyer; negative values favor Elmer Moeller. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTristan Boyer · $0
6hElmer Moeller · $1
24hElmer Moeller · $1

Tristan Boyer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tristan Boyer price. Elmer Moeller fills are converted to the complementary Tristan Boyer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h27.0¢▼ below by 27.0pp
VWAP 7d27.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tristan Boyer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Lisbon: Tristan Boyer vs Elmer Moeller
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Tristan Boyer vs. Elmer Moeller: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Boyer vs. Moeller: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.