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Set 1 Winner: Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira

Sports→TennisSettlement: YESLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $24Event: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Marco Trungelliti” if Marco Trungelliti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tiago Pereira” if Tiago Pereira wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Tiago Pereira in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Marco Trungelliti” if Marco Trungelliti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tiago Pereira” if Tiago Pereira wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Trungelliti vs. Pereira: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
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Trungelliti vs. Pereira: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Trungelliti vs. Pereira: Match O/U 21.5
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Set Handicap: Marco Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5)
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.