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Cali: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Sports→TennisSettlement: Juan Manuel La SernaLiquidity: $130.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $427.6KEvent: Cali: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna
0.0¢
Hugo Dellien payout
100.0¢
Juan Manuel La Serna payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:51 trades$171.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 88 min agoofficial metadata 61 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hugo Dellien · $3.2K net·6 wallets·$12.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJuan Manuel La Serna$50.3K@ 88¢·tenniz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Juan Manuel La Serna. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Dellien and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Hugo Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Juan Manuel La Serna@ 99.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Hugo Dellien DOWN 15.0pp · near-book depth $81 → $80 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Dellien; negative values favor Juan Manuel La Serna. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJuan Manuel La Serna · $136.8K
6hJuan Manuel La Serna · $133.2K
24hJuan Manuel La Serna · $133.1K

Hugo Dellien price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Dellien price. Juan Manuel La Serna fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Dellien probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h11.3¢▼ below by 11.3pp
VWAP 7d11.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Dellien price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.7K
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$153
55¢
$0
50¢
$267
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$4.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$50.3K
5¢
$53.7K
0¢
← now
$54.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJuan Manuel La Serna$35.0K@ 95.7¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJuan Manuel La Serna$50.3K@ 87.6¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJuan Manuel La Serna$41.4K@ 91.1¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennizJuan Manuel La Serna$91.7K
BUY VWAP 89.2¢·2 fills
HVABJuan Manuel La Serna$47.2K
BUY VWAP 95.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.