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Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings

● quote 13s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $84.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $120.9KEvent: Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings

Indicative prices · 13s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Melbourne United
0.05¢
Sydney Kings
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection40Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:90 trades$46.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Melbourne United · $1.7K net·9 wallets·$8.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMelbourne United$18.6K@ 100¢·tin54321

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Sydney Kings pressure: $18.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$18.4K
6h
−$12.8K
tracked
$46.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Melbourne United · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sydney Kings or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nbl.com.au/
Outcome meaning

•If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United".

•If the Sydney Kings win, the market will resolve to "Sydney Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 25 at 2:00AM ET: If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the Sydney Kings win, the market will resolve to "Sydney Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp3 linked markets · $5.1K gross
ferdinand23 linked markets · $584 gross
HRTrading2 linked markets · $81 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sydney Kings UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $223 → $509 · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Melbourne United; negative values favor Sydney Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSydney Kings · $18.4K
6hSydney Kings · $12.8K
24hSydney Kings · $12.8K

Melbourne United price VWAP

Volume-weighted Melbourne United price. Sydney Kings fills are converted to the complementary Melbourne United probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h80.33¢▲ above by 19.6pp
VWAP 7d80.33¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Melbourne United price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$24.4K
90¢
$1.3K
85¢
$4.5K
80¢
$5
75¢
$0
70¢
$345
65¢
$3
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.7K
45¢
$4.5K
40¢
$3.0K
35¢
$2.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMelbourne United$18.6K@ 99.9¢
tin543210x91e6…e9c5
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.