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Set 2 Winner: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.8KEvent: Ningbo Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢
Daria Kasatkina
0.0¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$100 trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 168 min agoofficial metadata 128 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$100
tracked
$100

1 verified profitable wallet: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · $100 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 168 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Daria Kasatkina” if Daria Kasatkina wins set 2. It will resolve to “Aliaksandra Sasnovich” if Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Daria Kasatkina” if Daria Kasatkina wins set 2. It will resolve to “Aliaksandra Sasnovich” if Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.4K gross
above982 linked markets · $358 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daria Kasatkina; negative values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaria Kasatkina · $0
6hAliaksandra Sasnovich · $100
24hAliaksandra Sasnovich · $100

Daria Kasatkina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daria Kasatkina price. Aliaksandra Sasnovich fills are converted to the complementary Daria Kasatkina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h5.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d5.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daria Kasatkina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$100
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Ningbo Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢$535.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kasatkina vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$216priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+1.5)
0.0¢$142priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kasatkina vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Daria Kasatkina vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$20priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kasatkina vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kasatkina vs. Sasnovich: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.