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Set 2 Winner: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

● quote 44 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.0KEvent: Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
0.0¢
Mikhail Kukushkin
0.0¢
Stefanos Sakellaridis
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$155 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 103 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$155
tracked
$155

1 verified profitable wallet: Mikhail Kukushkin · $16 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 44 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 103 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Mikhail Kukushkin” if Mikhail Kukushkin wins set 2. It will resolve to “Stefanos Sakellaridis” if Stefanos Sakellaridis wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mikhail Kukushkin and Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mikhail Kukushkin” if Mikhail Kukushkin wins set 2. It will resolve to “Stefanos Sakellaridis” if Stefanos Sakellaridis wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Donkoo2 linked markets · $70 gross
Absing2 linked markets · $56 gross
0x5d63…90752 linked markets · $10 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mikhail Kukushkin; negative values favor Stefanos Sakellaridis. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMikhail Kukushkin · $0
6hMikhail Kukushkin · $155
24hMikhail Kukushkin · $155

Mikhail Kukushkin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mikhail Kukushkin price. Stefanos Sakellaridis fills are converted to the complementary Mikhail Kukushkin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h62.7¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d62.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mikhail Kukushkin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$139
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$16
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.