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Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport - Map 2 Winner

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $12.6KEvent: Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Group A
0.1¢
aimclub
100.0¢
Insiders Esport
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%
24h sample:11 trades$705 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$37
6h
−$16
tracked
$705

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "aimclub" if aimclub win Map 2 against Insiders Esport.

•This market will resolve to "Insiders Esport" if Insiders Esport win Map 2 against aimclub.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between aimclub and Insiders Esport in the DraculaN Group A, initially scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. This market will resolve to "aimclub" if aimclub win Map 2 against Insiders Esport. This market will resolve to "Insiders Esport" if Insiders Esport win Map 2 against aimclub. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 19, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Iostfd2 linked markets · $714 gross
0xd37c…e4fe2 linked markets · $643 gross
0x3019…0bba2 linked markets · $72 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: aimclub DOWN 8.5pp · near-book depth $10 → $2 · 52s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor aimclub; negative values favor Insiders Esport. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1haimclub · $37
6hInsiders Esport · $16
24hInsiders Esport · $16

aimclub price VWAP

Volume-weighted aimclub price. Insiders Esport fills are converted to the complementary aimclub probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h61.7¢▼ below by 61.6pp
VWAP 7d61.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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aimclub price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$5
80¢
$68
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$25
45¢
$0
40¢
$64
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$1
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$542

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport - Map 1 Winner
100.0¢$18.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs Insiders Esport (+1.5)
0.1¢$17.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Group A
70.5¢$12.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs Insiders Esport (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs Insiders Esport (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs Insiders Esport (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-6.5) vs Insiders Esport (+6.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.