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Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Group A

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $17.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Group A
100.0¢
aimclub
0.1¢
Insiders Esport
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection47Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:36 trades$2.7K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Insiders Esport · $1.2K net·2 wallets·$1.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLaimclub$1.4K@ 100¢·above98

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Insiders Esport pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.3K
6h
−$800
tracked
$2.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Insiders Esport · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Insiders Esport or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "aimclub" if aimclub win the match against Insiders Esport.

•This market will resolve to "Insiders Esport" if Insiders Esport win the match against aimclub.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between aimclub and Insiders Esport in the DraculaN Group A, initially scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. This market will resolve to "aimclub" if aimclub win the match against Insiders Esport. This market will resolve to "Insiders Esport" if Insiders Esport win the match against aimclub. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 19, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Iostfd2 linked markets · $714 gross
0xd37c…e4fe2 linked markets · $643 gross
0xdc28…e9f72 linked markets · $124 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Insiders Esport DOWN 8.9pp · near-book depth $37 → $88 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor aimclub; negative values favor Insiders Esport. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInsiders Esport · $1.3K
6hInsiders Esport · $800
24hInsiders Esport · $800

aimclub price VWAP

Volume-weighted aimclub price. Insiders Esport fills are converted to the complementary aimclub probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.3¢▲ above by 9.6pp
VWAP 7d90.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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aimclub price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.5K
90¢
$31
85¢
$61
80¢
$374
75¢
$556
70¢
$201
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs Insiders Esport (+1.5)
0.1¢$18.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢$18.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs Insiders Esport (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs Insiders Esport (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-6.5) vs Insiders Esport (+6.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.