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European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jaume Munar

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $16.9KEvent: European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jaume Munar
50.5¢
Arthur Fils
49.5¢
Jaume Munar
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets43Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$4.5K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 124 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Fils · $15 net·3 wallets·$34 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Fils$1.0K@ 51¢·0xa0f2…1848

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$4.1K
tracked
$4.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Arthur Fils · $15 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 124 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Jaume Munar in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x7f98…698b2 linked markets · $488 gross
0x1263…f2412 linked markets · $390 gross
0x2b9d…33732 linked markets · $390 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Fils; negative values favor Jaume Munar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Fils · $0
6hArthur Fils · $4.1K
24hArthur Fils · $4.5K

Arthur Fils price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Fils price. Jaume Munar fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Fils probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arthur Fils price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$11
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$4.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Jaume Munar
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Arthur Fils vs. Jaume Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Fils vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5
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Set 2 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Jaume Munar
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.