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Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Facundo Acosta (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Almaty Open: Facundo Acosta vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢
Facundo Acosta.
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$50 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 111 min agoofficial metadata 495 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$50
tracked
$50

1 verified profitable wallet: Nikoloz Basilashvili · $10 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 111 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 495 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nikoloz Basilashvili" if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins by 2 or more sets than Facundo Acosta, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Facundo Acosta."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nikoloz Basilashvili can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Facundo Acosta."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Facundo Acosta in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nikoloz Basilashvili" if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins by 2 or more sets than Facundo Acosta, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Facundo Acosta." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nikoloz Basilashvili can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Facundo Acosta." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
VeryLucky8882 linked markets · $23 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili; negative values favor Facundo Acosta.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikoloz Basilashvili · $0
6hNikoloz Basilashvili · $50
24hNikoloz Basilashvili · $50

Nikoloz Basilashvili price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nikoloz Basilashvili price. Facundo Acosta. fills are converted to the complementary Nikoloz Basilashvili probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h42.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d42.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nikoloz Basilashvili price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$50
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Almaty Open: Facundo Acosta vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
33.5¢$18.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Facundo Acosta vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Acosta vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Acosta vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Facundo Acosta vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Acosta vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Acosta vs. Basilashvili: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.