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Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 4 daysLiquidity: $12.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $131.7KEvent: Bengals vs. Falcons

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.0¢
Over
50.0¢
Under
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution67Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$50.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 86 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $1.9K net·3 wallets·$4.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$12.4K@ 51¢·Pwaddler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$68
tracked
$50.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Over · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 86 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Bengals and Falcons combine to score 53 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 53, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 8 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Bengals and Falcons combine to score 53 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 53, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 52.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 51.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hOver · $68
24hOver · $47.6K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.0¢
VWAP 24h50.21¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d50.21¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$29.3K
45¢
$21.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$12.4K@ 51.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerOver$24.4K
BUY VWAP 51.73¢·3 fills
chanelloOver$16.3K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.