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Guangzhou 2: Jie Cui vs Yibing Wu

● quote 121 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $817.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $220.8KEvent: Guangzhou 2: Jie Cui vs Yibing Wu
99.9¢
Jie Cui
17.0¢
Yibing Wu
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:130 trades$75.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 127 min agoofficial metadata 122 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jie Cui · $1.7K net·12 wallets·$16.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYibing Wu$13.9K@ 53¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$44.9K
tracked
$75.3K

12 verified profitable wallets: Jie Cui · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +43.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 121 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 127 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 122 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jie Cui and Yibing Wu in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Yibing Wu. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Jie Cui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Yibing Wu@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Yibing Wu@ 56.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Yibing Wu DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $10.9K → $2.5K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jie Cui; negative values favor Yibing Wu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJie Cui · $0
6hYibing Wu · $44.9K
24hYibing Wu · $45.0K

Jie Cui price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jie Cui price. Yibing Wu fills are converted to the complementary Jie Cui probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h46.2¢▲ above by 53.7pp
VWAP 7d46.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jie Cui price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$108
80¢
$468
75¢
$93
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.2K
60¢
$70
55¢
$18.6K
50¢
$6.2K
45¢
$17.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$1.8K
15¢
$3.9K
10¢
$16
5¢
$13.4K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYYibing Wu$13.9K@ 53.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Jie Cui vs. Yibing Wu: Total Sets O/U 2.5
28.5¢$17priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Cui vs. Wu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
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Cui vs. Wu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Jie Cui vs Yibing Wu
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cui vs. Wu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$776.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnYibing Wu$27.1K
BUY VWAP 46.2¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesYibing Wu$11.1K
BUY VWAP 90.6¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.