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Set Handicap: Tallon Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Mariano Navone (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.3KEvent: European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor
0.0¢
Tallon Griekspoor
0.0¢
Mariano Navone.
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$44 trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 243 min agoofficial metadata 177 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$44
tracked
$44

1 verified profitable wallet: Tallon Griekspoor · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 243 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 177 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tallon Griekspoor" if Tallon Griekspoor wins by 2 or more sets than Mariano Navone, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mariano Navone."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tallon Griekspoor can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mariano Navone."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Mariano Navone in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tallon Griekspoor" if Tallon Griekspoor wins by 2 or more sets than Mariano Navone, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mariano Navone." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tallon Griekspoor can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mariano Navone." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0464…67da2 linked markets · $85 gross
0x0d10…780b2 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tallon Griekspoor; negative values favor Mariano Navone.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTallon Griekspoor · $0
6hTallon Griekspoor · $44
24hTallon Griekspoor · $44

Tallon Griekspoor price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tallon Griekspoor price. Mariano Navone. fills are converted to the complementary Tallon Griekspoor probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h32.9¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d32.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tallon Griekspoor price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$7
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$37
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

European Open: Mariano Navone vs Tallon Griekspoor
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Mariano Navone vs. Tallon Griekspoor: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Game Spread: Tallon Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Mariano Navone (+1.5)
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Navone vs. Griekspoor: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
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Navone vs. Griekspoor: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Navone vs. Griekspoor: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.